24 Jul · 09:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jan Sevecek
ELO 1491
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sturma
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1496
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
🌟Sturma rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (38)
Fair odds · Sturma
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H6-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.