24 Jul · 14:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1519
FormLLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Cibik
SM
🇨🇿Simon Matousch
ELO 1446
FormWLLLW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Matousch🌟Cibik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (66)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H21-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)