24 Jul · 09:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1467
FormWLWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Pawlik
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1602
FormLWWLW
39%
61%
🔥 Underdog lean · Volny🌟Pawlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (17)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+135
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)