24 Jul · 13:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1498
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Babinek
JB
🇨🇿Jiri Babinek
ELO 1566
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Babinek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)