24 Jul · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1505
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Fiklik
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1548
FormLLLLL
46%
54%
🌟Fiklik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (111)
Fair odds · Fiklik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H55-47
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.