24 Jul · 12:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1527
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sindler
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1482
FormLWWLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Matus🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (36)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H24-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.