24 Jul · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JB
🇨🇿Jiri Babinek
ELO 1566
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vosyka
RV
🇨🇿Radek Vosyka
ELO 1585
FormLWWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Vosyka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H12-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.