24 Jul · 14:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1548
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Benes
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1562
FormWWLWW
49%
51%
🌟Benes rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (57)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H76-58
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.