24 Jul · 14:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1505
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Benes
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1562
FormWWLWW
45%
55%
🌟Benes rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (57)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H8-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-6)