24 Jul · 11:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1575
FormLLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Lysakowski
JM
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1480
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+95
H2H46-62
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)