24 Jul · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1551
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Stapor
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1622
FormLLWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H26-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-23)