24 Jul · 16:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1469
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1518
FormLWWLL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chlad🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (36)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H5-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.