24 Jul · 22:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kolbusovsky
ELO 1288
FormLLLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1484
FormWLLWL
34%
66%
🌟Kolbusovsky covers set handicap as underdog 63% (89)
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+196
H2H13-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+196)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-5)