24 Jul · 21:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1420
FormLLWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Nemec
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kolbusovsky
ELO 1288
FormLLLLL
61%
39%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kolbusovsky🌟Nemec rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (78)
Fair odds · Nemec
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+132
H2H34-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-20)