24 Jul · 20:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1441
FormWWLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Rolik
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kolbusovsky
ELO 1288
FormLLLLL
62%
38%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kolbusovsky🌟Rolik goes over total as favourite 66% (79)
Fair odds · Rolik
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+153
H2H40-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+153)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-15)