24 Jul · 16:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1584
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Heuman
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1536
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Heuman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (31)
Fair odds · Heuman
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.