24 Jul · 16:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1563
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Moravec
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1536
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
🌟Moravec stays under total as favourite 78% (18)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H11-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.