24 Jul · 19:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1609
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Skvrna
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1516
FormLWWWL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cizek🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (75)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+93
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)