24 Jul · 21:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1484
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zeman
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1441
FormWWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Rolik covers set handicap as underdog 68% (96)
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H66-52
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.