24 Jul · 20:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1420
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1484
FormWLLWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H88-71
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (88-71)