24 Jul · 18:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1536
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Mrowetz
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1481
FormLLLLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Raska🌟Raska covers set handicap as underdog 71% (42)
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H8-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.