24 Jul · 17:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇨🇿Martin Lorenc
ELO 1400
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Chlad
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1469
FormWLLWL
44%
56%
🌟Chlad rarely covers set handicap as favourite 17% (18)
Fair odds · Chlad
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)