24 Jul · 21:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1516
FormLWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Chaloupka
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1645
FormWLWWW
40%
60%
🌟Cizek goes over total as underdog 70% (33)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+129
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)