24 Jul · 21:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KP
🇨🇿Kamil Przeczek
ELO 1465
FormLWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Przeczek
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1394
FormWLLLW
56%
44%
🌟Ogrocki stays under total as underdog 74% (23)
Fair odds · Przeczek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)