24 Jul · 17:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇨🇿Milan Tlusty
ELO 1490
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hendrych
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1535
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Hendrych
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H20-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.