24 Jul · 17:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1439
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Dvorak
JD
🇨🇿Jakub Dvorak
ELO 1477
FormWWWLL
47%
53%
🌟Dvorak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (30)
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H44-45
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.