24 Jul · 18:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
T2
🇨🇿Tomas Beran 2000
ELO 1586
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Karel
FK
🇨🇿Filip Karel
ELO 1637
FormWWWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Karel
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.