24 Jul · 18:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1535
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Hendrych
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1439
FormLLLWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Hendrych
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+96
H2H25-43
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)