24 Jul · 20:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1609
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Skvrna
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1514
FormLLWLW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vitasek🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (75)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+95
H2H13-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-9)