24 Jul · 16:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇨🇿Milan Tlusty
ELO 1490
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Tlusty
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1439
FormLLLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Tlusty
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H40-40
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.