24 Jul · 21:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1486
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hons
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Pros
ELO 1427
FormLLWLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Hons
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)