24 Jul · 22:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1420
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Rolik
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1441
FormWWLLL
48%
52%
🌟Rolik goes over total as favourite 66% (79)
Fair odds · Rolik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H75-87
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.