24 Jul · 20:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
CK
🇨🇿Christian Kratochvil
ELO 1504
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dohnal
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1593
FormWWLWW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kratochvil🌟Dohnal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (102)
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H14-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-9)