24 Jul · 20:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RV
🇨🇿Richard Vavricka
ELO 1476
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vavricka
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Pros
ELO 1427
FormLLWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Vavricka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.