24 Jul · 21:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1473
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vavricka
RV
🇨🇿Richard Vavricka
ELO 1476
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Vavricka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H8-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.