24 Jul · 22:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1469
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Chlad
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Vanous
ELO 1431
FormWLLWW
53%
47%
🌟Chlad rarely covers set handicap as favourite 17% (18)
Fair odds · Chlad
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.