24 Jul · 22:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1514
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Cizek
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1516
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
🌟Vitasek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (37)
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H7-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.