25 Jul · 08:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1502
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jancak
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Stempak
ELO 1441
FormWLLWL
55%
45%
🌟Jancak goes over total as favourite 68% (31)
Fair odds · Jancak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)