25 Jul · 12:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1429
FormWWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Cibik
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1523
FormWLWWL
42%
58%
🌟Cibik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (66)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H20-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-9)