25 Jul · 08:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1579
FormWWWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Benak
JB
🇨🇿Jan Benak
ELO 1714
FormLWLWL
39%
61%
🌟Benak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (20)
Fair odds · Benak
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+135
H2H19-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-18)