25 Jul · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1579
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Benes
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1522
FormLWLWL
55%
45%
🌟Benes rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (57)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)