25 Jul · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1580
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sarganek
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1647
FormWLWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H22-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)