25 Jul · 13:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1654
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Chaloupka
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1559
FormWWLWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+95
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)