25 Jul · 08:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1580
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Niezgoda
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1646
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
🌟Niezgoda stays under total as favourite 65% (65)
Fair odds · Niezgoda
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H24-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)