25 Jul · 07:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1527
FormWLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jr
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobota
ELO 1442
FormLWLLW
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sobota🌟Sobota covers set handicap as underdog 62% (24)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H6-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)