25 Jul · 14:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1499
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Precek
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1460
FormWLLLW
53%
47%
🌟Volny covers set handicap as underdog 76% (17)
Fair odds · Precek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H12-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.