25 Jul · 13:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1542
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Neterda
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1484
FormLWLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)