25 Jul · 07:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1580
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sikora
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1538
FormWWWLW
53%
47%
🌟Sikora rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (32)
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.