25 Jul · 13:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1505
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zeman
JM
🇨🇿Jakub Mach
ELO 1483
FormWWWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H3-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.