25 Jul · 14:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1423
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1505
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H90-71
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (90-71)